
The Dynamic Wealth Report
December 28, 2007
The Dull Way To Make 20%
“There is no way these stocks are boring” exclaims Joey, a grizzled, veteran
investor I recently met. “As a matter of fact I’ve done great with these
stocks. Besides, Warren Buffet owns them.”
His enthusiasm is not to be outdone. He drew my attention to an industry
that many consider boring and sleepy. Ten years ago, these
companies were relegated to widows, orphans, and retirees. These investments
are widely considered the
safest and most secure in the stock market. If you didn’t want much
risk, this was the industry for you.
What industry am I talking about? Utilities of course.
Many investment advisors incorporated utility stocks into portfolios
because of their safety. They were seen as something to run to when
fears of recession hit, or as an aggressive substitute to bond
investing. The perceived safety of these companies is due in large part
to government regulation.
You see, most utilities are a monopoly. The government allows them to operate, but
regulates them heavily. As a result, the business earnings are limited to
a fixed return on invested capital. This gives the companies great
stability and predictability (and makes them rather boring to many).
Utility companies traditionally produce, generate, or distribute
electricity or natural gas. Recently, the industry has grown to include
water companies as well. These businesses are very basic.
People will always need electricity, gas and water.
You may know that a few years ago the industry started to change. The government started
to deregulate parts of the business. This opened the floodgates to
improved production, and allowed for the emergence of independent
power producers. Suddenly, some utility companies could make more than a
standard fixed rate of return. The industry became a
very exciting one to invest in, and Wall Street took notice.
However, once the initial excitement started to wear off some cracks
started to appear. You all remember Enron. Clearly deregulation caused a number
of unintended consequences that took a few years to work out. The first
few years were a bit rough as the negative publicity caused investors to
flee.
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• Janney Montgomery Scott downgraded First Horizon National (FHN) a bank holding company from a Buy to a Neutral rating.
• Och-Ziff Capital Management (OZM) the asset
management firm completed its IPO in November. Three investment
banks initiated coverage this week, Citigroup, JP Morgan, and Keefe
Bruyette.
• BMO Capital Markets downgraded Respironics
(RESP) to Market Perform after the company received a buyout offer the
week prior.
• Semiconductor manufacturer, Fairchild Semiconductor (FCS) hit a new 52-week low after having a recent patent infringement court case dismissed.
• Target (TGT) hit a 52-week low after lowering its December sales forecasts. The Christmas shopping season was not as robust as expected.
• Monsanto (MON) hit another 52-week high with the stock passing the $116 per share.

| Company | Gain | |
| Timminco (TIMNF) | 7203% | |
| Forum National (FMNLF) | 2117% | |
| Rodman & Renshaw (RDRN) | 1125% | |
| Zongshen PEM (ZNGSF) | 933% | |
| First Solar (FSLR) | 823% | |
| Company | Loss | |
| Standard Pacific (SPF) | 87% | |
| Security Capital (SCA) | 86% | |
| IndyMac Bancorp (IMB) | 85% | |
| GPC Biotech (GPCBF) | 85% | |
| Beazer Homes (BZH) | 83% | |