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This Stock's Money In The Bank


The Dynamic Wealth Report
August 12, 2010

by Robert Morris, Editor

Climb aboard the Oplink (OPLK) express.

Shares of this optical networking component provider are on fire!  The company recently reported blowout earnings.  And management provided upbeat guidance for the next quarter.

I’ll give you the full rundown in a moment.

You might recall I first wrote about this company in late June.  If you missed it, you can read my article, Grab Your Share Of This $169 Million Cash Hoard, for all the details.

Since then, the shares are up an impressive 23%.

Not a bad return in just two months.  Especially compared to the Nasdaq Composite.  The tech heavy index is down 2% over the same period.

Why the huge discrepancy?

Simply stated, demand for Oplink’s products is booming.

Oplink makes equipment for boosting wireless network capacity, speed, and performance.  And telecom companies can’t get enough of it.

Here’s why…

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The smartphone revolution caught them off guard.  An ever growing number of smartphone users are draining capacity from existing networks.  And this is causing dropped calls and slower internet speeds.

Many smartphone customers are really frustrated.

They’ve spent hundreds of dollars on the latest and greatest smart-phones.  They’ve taken on expensive multi-year service contracts.  Then they find their expensive new smartphones drop calls and can’t surf the web.

This situation put telecoms in a real bind.

They have to upgrade their wireless networks right away… before they lose customers.  They desperately need equipment to increase network capacity and accelerate data transmission speeds.

In fact, telecoms plan on spending a whopping $57.8 billion on network equipment this year.

And Oplink is laughing all the way to the bank.

Check out their earnings for fiscal year 2010 (ended in June).

Net income surged 90% to $20.9 million.  Earnings soared an eye-popping 87% to $0.97 per share.  And earnings topped analysts’ estimates.

As you might imagine, Oplink shares soared on the news…

OPLK Chart

Take a close look at the chart.  You can see how the shares gapped up huge on August 3rd.  At one point, the shares traded as high as $19.27. That’s an intraday gain of 17%!

Best of all, Oplink is just getting started.

The outlook going forward is very bullish…

Management recently raised revenue and earnings guidance for next quarter.  And analysts have ratcheted FY 2011 revenue and earnings forecasts significantly higher.

See for yourself…

Analysts are now expecting a revenue jump of 44% to $200 million.  What’s more, they’re looking for earnings to rocket 65% to $1.60 a share.

Despite this terrific outlook, the shares are still badly misvalued.

At a recent price of $17.60, Oplink is trading at merely 11x the FY 2011 estimate of $1.60.  That’s an extremely low P/E for a company expected to grow earnings 30% a year.

In fact, it works out to a PEG ratio of just 0.37.

And you know what that means.  The shares are trading at a 63% discount to their projected growth rate.

Hard to believe, right?

No doubt about it, Oplink shares have big upside potential.  I can see the shares trading up to at least $25 and maybe jumping as high as $30 in the next year.

What an opportunity!

If you missed Oplink the first time, you now have another chance to grab shares at a discount.  The stock’s pulling back with the overall market.  Don’t let another golden opportunity pass you by. 

ETF Action 

•  Cisco Systems Sends Tech Sector Tumbling

Technology stocks are moving sharply lower on disappointing earnings and guidance from Cisco Systems (CSCO).  Cisco’s revenue miss and lower guidance are stoking investor fears of a double dip recession.  As a result, inverse Technology Sector ETFs are surging today:  Direxion Daily Technology Bear 3x Shares (TYP) is jumping over 5% and ProShares UltraShort Technology (REW) is up more than 3%.


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Issue Date:
 Thursday, August 12, 2010


Notable Highs and Lows

•  Tim Hortons (THI) set a new 52-week high of $35.97.  Canada’s largest restaurant chain is jumping more than 6% on better than expected earnings.  Their market cap is just over $6.2 billion.

•  Aegean Marine Petroleum Network (ANW) hit a new 52-week low of $14.30.  The marine fuel provider’s plunging over 24% on disappointing earnings.  Their market cap is now just under $775 million.

•  CryptoLogic (CRYP) fell to a new 52-week low of $1.49.  The internet casino software maker’s dropping nearly 10% on lower revenue and a wider loss.  They have a market cap of over $19 million.


Quote of the Day

"There are those who look at things the way they are, and ask why… I dream of things that never were, and ask why not?"

                           -
Robert Kennedy

 
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