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Never Have "One Of Those Days" Again


The Dynamic Wealth Report
July 9, 2010

by Corey Williams, Editor

Do you ever have “one of those days”?  You know the kind, nothing goes the way it should and everything is more complicated and time consuming than it needs to be.

I had “one of those days” last Saturday.

It started out simply enough.  Saturday morning I went to pick up a new graphics card for my computer from a local electronics store.  (I’ll keep their name out of it because I still like the guys who run the store.)

I had ordered the item online through their website.  But I elected to pick it up at the store to save a few bucks on shipping and to have it in my hands a little quicker.

I was in and out with my product in hand in under five minutes.  I thought, “Today is gonna be a good day.”  I’ll have the installation done in no time.  And I’ll still have plenty of time to hit the pool and grill some burgers.

Boy was I wrong…

Once I got the new card installed, it wouldn’t work.  That’s when my day turned into “one of those days”.

What really gets me is it didn’t have to turn into “one of those days”.  If the company I bought the product from only used the software from an up and coming tech company, the whole mess could have been avoided.  I’ll get to them in a minute…

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But first things first, my graphics card wouldn’t work after installation.  I tried tech support on their website, twice over the phone, and finally at the store.

Each time I spoke to someone different.  And each time I had to explain the situation from the beginning.  Heck, the guys I talked to on the phone couldn’t even pull up a record of the sale.

It was a horrible customer experience.  There was no coordination between tech support, customer service, and sales.

Eventually my problem was resolved.  But the lack of coordination between the different parts of the company is inexcusable.  There’s no reason why I should have to explain the problem in detail each time I spoke to someone new.

There are a number of Customer Relationship Management (CRM) software packages available.  And they’re designed to improve customer experience so they don’t have “one of those days”.

It got me thinking about a company I had recommended call options on in Elite Option Trader about a year ago.  Subscribers pocketed a 365% gain as their stock price soared from $23 to over $35.

And thanks to a recent pullback in their stock price, I think it’s a screaming buy again…

The company I’m talking about is Pegasystems (PEGA).  They’re a leader in the CRM and business automation software industry.

PEGA’s software is designed to improve customer experience, increase sales, and lower costs.  And they’ve developed a reputation for being able to deliver on those promises.  It’s allowed them to develop a client list of major companies in financial services, healthcare, telecom, manufacturing, and retail service industry.

The beauty of PEGA’s business is they’re able to grow in any business environment.  In fact, they’ve grown revenue seven quarters in a row (including the recession after the financial meltdown in 2008).

Right now PEGA is gearing up for a major growth spurt.  Their goal is to be a $1 billion per year player in the CRM and business automation industry.

Last quarter, PEGA’s earnings fell short of analyst estimates.  And investors who didn’t dig into their quarterly earnings report sold the stock.  It’s currently about 20% off the all-time high of $39.66 it set in April.

According to PEGA’s quarterly earnings report, they missed analysts’ earnings estimates for a few reasons.

The first reason is because sales and marketing expenses are up $6.5 million.

Expenses are increasing because they’re increasing the size of their sales force.  I think this is a long term positive for the company.  They already have a best in class product… a bigger sales force will drive more sales and earnings in the future.

The second reason is because of the different options they give customers to pay.  Revenues will be accounted for differently depending upon the type of contract they have.  It creates some lumpy quarterly revenue and earnings.

It’s why PEGA doesn’t provide quarterly guidance.  They only provide yearly guidance.  And they’re still on pace to meet or beat their yearly revenue goal of $360 million.

PEGA also completed the acquisition of Chordiant last quarter as well.  Due to the merger, the company didn’t give yearly earnings guidance. Not giving earnings guidance is a sure fire way to spook some investors.

Management said the merger should increase earnings this year.  And they’ll give updated yearly earnings guidance when they report second quarter earnings.  That report is due out in early August.  And I’m expecting their guidance to send PEGA soaring.

The bottom line is PEGA’s a great growth stock…

Their goal is to increase revenue from $264 million last year to $360 million this year.  And eventually to $1 billion a year and beyond.  They already have a best in class product.  And their commitment to increasing revenue through acquisitions and a larger sales force has the company on the right track.

Take advantage of the recent pullback.  Consider adding PEGA to your portfolio.  It’s currently at a discount to what I think it will be trading for after they report earnings next month.

Notable Rating Changes 

•  Wright Medical (WMGI) was upgraded by RBC Capital Markets this week.  They now have an outperform rating on the stock.  The orthopaedic medical device maker will feature new product innovations at the American Orthopaedic Foot & Ankle Society meeting.

•  Best Buy (BBY) was downgraded to hold by Jefferies this week.  The analyst said weak sales trends for the retailer are likely to erode further.

•  Stern Agee started coverage on NetLogic (NETL) this week with a buy rating.  Last week the semiconductor company announced a game changing new technology for networking systems.


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Issue Date:
 Friday, July 9, 2010


Notable Highs and Lows

•  Newmont Mining (NEM) hit a 52-week high of over $63.  The gold miner is up as gold prices rebound today. Their market cap is now over $30 billion.

•  STAAR Surgical (STAA) hit a new 52-week high of over $6.40.  The surgical implant maker was recently added to the Russell 2000.  Their market cap is now over $223 million.

•  Conceptus (CPTS) hit a 52-week low of under $12.25.  The maker of the Essure permanent birth control system lowered their quarterly and full year earnings projections.  Their market cap is now under $396 million.


Quote of the Day

"As a rule, men worry more about what they can't see than about what they can."

                               -
Julius Caesar

 
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This Week's Winners

Company Gain
Sun Bancorp (SNBC) 34%
American Physicians Cap (ACAP) 29%
Callon Petroleum (CPE) 26%
Wabash National (WNC) 22%
CC Media Holdings (CCMO) 21%
*Week-to-Date, Stock Price > $5


This Week's Losers


Company Loss
Xenoport (XNPT) 30%
FTI Consulting (FCN) 26%
Nanometrics (NANO) 19%
Hastings Entertainment (HAST) 18%
Value Line (VALU) 18%
*Week-to-Date, Stock Price > $5


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