Grab These Shares While They're On Sale
The Dynamic Wealth Report
May 27, 2010
by Robert Morris, Editor
Everywhere you look the financial news media is freaking out about the
market. It seems like the pundits are in a competition to see who can
paint the bleakest picture.
They’re giving new meaning to the term “sensationalist journalism”.
I guess that’s what attracts the most eyeballs these days.
While I’m certainly concerned about the market downturn, I’m not in
panic mode. I still believe the market is undergoing a normal, healthy,
long-overdue correction.
As with most corrections, the events giving rise to it are alarming. Europe has real economic issues and systemic problems to deal with. And
there is a risk these issues could derail the fragile global economic
recovery.
I just don’t believe the situation is going to spiral out of control.
Everyone is aware of the problems. The world’s best and brightest minds
are working day and night to resolve them. And they all have a common
goal… fix the systemic problems without stifling the economic recovery.
I have faith the problems will be solved (or at least pushed off into
the future) and the recovery will continue.
That’s why I’m making a list of stocks to buy during this correction. We’ve had to wait over a year for a pullback of more than 10%. Who knows
when we’ll get another opportunity to pick up stocks at discount prices?
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Last week I made a compelling case for adding a Big Pharma stock
or two to your portfolio. Today I’m going back to one of my favorite
themes for 2010 and 2011.
The robust recovery in semiconductor equipment manufacturers.
Dynamic Wealth Report readers may recall my recommendation of
MKS
Instruments (NASDAQ: MKSI) in early March. In the article,
A Low Risk
Way To Play The Recovery In Chip Stocks, I suggested buying MKSI to cash
in on the recovery in chip equipment makers.
Thanks to the correction, you now have another opportunity to buy MKSI
around $19. After I recommended them, the shares jumped 26% on blowout
first quarter earnings. Now they’ve pulled all the way back.
But I digress.
Let’s get back to the vigorous chip equipment recovery.
After two straight years of huge declines, the chip equipment industry
is just starting a new growth cycle.
Chip makers are once again investing huge sums to increase their
production capacity. It’s the only way they can keep up with soaring
demand.
As a result, new orders at chip equipment makers have increased in six
straight months since November 2009. Clearly, demand for chip making
equipment is accelerating.
The outlook for the industry going forward is excellent.
SEMI, the industry’s trade group, is forecasting chip equipment sales
will grow a whopping 53% in 2010! And the group’s expecting sales to
jump another 28% in 2011.
This is definitely one trend you don’t want to miss.
Shares of chip equipment makers usually post huge gains during the early
stages of an industry growth cycle. And the company I’m writing about
today is no exception.
Novellus Systems (NASDAQ: NVLS) is a fast growing, misvalued chip
equipment maker.
NVLS specializes in manufacturing equipment that deposits extremely thin
films of insulating and conductive materials on semiconductor chips. These materials are used to create the wiring on each individual chip.
I know it sounds complicated. The key point is the company’s products
are critical technologies for creating advanced semiconductor devices. Semiconductors are used in computers, TVs, cell phones, automobiles, and
thousands of other devices.
NVLS supplies many of the top semiconductor companies in the world. Companies like
Intel (INTC), Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM), and
Samsung
just to name a few.
All of these companies are buying more chip manufacturing equipment in
order to increase production capacity. And NVLS is in prime position to
benefit from this new investment cycle.
In fact, renewed demand is already showing up in NVLS’ financials. Just
take a look at the company’s first quarter 2010 results.
Revenue jumped 13.9% from the fourth quarter and 179% from the year ago
period to $276 million. Net income jumped 17% to $41.3 million. And,
earnings increased 19% to $0.47 per share.
Both revenue and earnings blew away analysts’ estimates.
As a result, analysts have been raising estimates across the board. They
now expect NVLS to earn $2.32 a share in 2010 and $2.96 a share in 2011.
That’s a 34% and 27% bump in just the past 90 days!
At a recent price of $24.86, NVLS shares are nicely misvalued.

They’re trading at just 10.7x the 2010 estimate and a paltry 8.4x the
2011 estimate. These are very low P/E ratios for a company expected to
grow earnings 18% a year over the next five years.
With much better than average growth rates, NVLS deserves a P/E at least
equal to the industry average of 13x (if not higher). At 13x the 2011
estimate, the shares are worth $38.48.
That’s upside potential of 55%!
Take a closer look at NVLS for your portfolio. Don’t miss the
opportunity to profit from the new growth cycle in chip equipment
makers. And use the current market correction to get into NVLS at an
attractive price.
China ETFs are jumping today after yesterday’s good news. The Chinese
government signaled an end to monetary tightening and will refocus on
promoting economic growth. One ETF really moving is the ProShares Ultra
FTSE/Xinhua China 25 (XPP).
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