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How You Can Profit Using Support And Resistance


The Dynamic Wealth Report
May 26, 2010

by Justin Bennett, Editor

The past month has brought a lot of fear and uncertainty back into the markets.  After the spectacular rise in stocks for the past year, investors are now running for cover.

It’s a challenging time for investors.  Every day brings new information, which can push the market hundreds of points in either direction.

The European debt problems are front and center.  Investors around the world are wondering just how bad the problems really are.  It raises questions like…

Will the problems in Europe cause a global slowdown?  Will it cause the global economy to head back into recession… or worse?  Will the debt problems leak into other countries?

And if that weren’t enough…

North and South Korea are raising the war rhetoric.  The North recently sank a South Korean ship.  Will this turn into a conflict affecting the Asian markets?  Could the uncertainty spill into U.S. markets?

Both of these issues are causing concern for investors…

It makes the investing waters very murky and unsettling.  Investors just don’t know how bad the storm is going to get.  For some, the only option is to go to cash.  They want to sit out the stormy weather and wait for the sun to rise again.  Others are left wondering what the heck to do.

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Everybody has questions right now…

But the passing of time is the only way you will find out the answers.  And waiting doesn’t give much relief when you’re sitting on the edge of your seat.

How can you get a read on this market?  Wouldn’t it be nice to have an idea of what the markets may do next?

Well, by using technical analysis, you can get a good idea of where markets may be heading.

By plotting support and resistance levels, you can get a read on where the markets may turn, where stocks may start to go up again, and where they may start to weaken.

These levels can help you make important trading decisions.  It gives you a line in the sand where you can say, “I'm going to sell if the market crosses this point.”

It allows you to control risk…

And controlling risk in your portfolio should be at the top of every traders list.

If you can’t control risk, it doesn’t matter how big your winners are.  If your losers turn out to be bigger than your winners, you’re sunk.

Also, what’s the point of having a big winner if you can’t take profits? Using support and resistance lines can give an investor an idea of where to take profits.

Is technical analysis always right?  No… but it puts the odds in your favor.  And putting the odds in your favor is better than getting pushed around at the mercy of the market.

So let’s take a look at the S&P 500…

SPX Chart

The S&P 500 index is a great representation of the broad market.  Plotting support and resistance lines in this chart can give you an idea of where the markets are heading.

As you can see, the fear and uncertainty has sent the markets tumbling in recent weeks.  Now the S&P 500 is trading at an important technical area.  The green line on the chart is the 1060 level.  This corresponds to the 10,000 area in the Dow.

So what clues can we get from plotting these technical levels?

First of all, the markets have broken below the long-term trend line (blue line).  This means the spectacular market uptrend of the past year is over.

We can also see the red line at the 1150 area is now resistance.  This level coincides with the highs of January 2010.  You can use this as a point to sell if the markets bounce back up to this level.

The green support line is where the markets are trading right now.  You should use this as a low risk buy point.

Why is it low risk?  If the market breaks below this level, you can close the trade for a small loss.  But if the markets go higher off this level, you can pull in some nice profits.

So what do you do next?

Watch what the market does around these important levels.  Use them to help you make decisions.

Investors have lots of questions right now… using technical analysis can bring some clarity to a fuzzy market.

Commodity Watch 

• Palladium (Under $450 an ounce)

Palladium prices have taken it on the chin in recent weeks.  The rare metal is trading under $450 in the June 2010 contract.  This could be a good buying opportunity as palladium is widely used in the automotive industry.  It’s also sought after by investors looking for ways to store value.


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Issue Date:
 Wednesday, May 26, 2010


Notable Highs and Lows

•  Family Dollar Stores (FDO) hit a 52-week high of just over $42.  The discount retailer was recently upgraded. Their market cap is now over $5 billion.

•  Chemed (CHE) hit a new 52-week high of over $58.  The hospice care provider is surging in sympathy to the GTIV acquisition of ODSY.  CHE has a market cap of just over $1 billion.

•  Crucell (CRXL) hit a 52-week low of under $18.  The Dutch biotechnology company recently reported a first quarter loss.  Their market cap is now just over $1 billion.


Quote of the Day

"A business that makes nothing but money is a poor business."

                               -
Henry Ford

 
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