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Trading For Big Profits With Low Risk


The Dynamic Wealth Report
September 16, 2009

How You Can Make Great Returns With Very Low Risk
by Justin Bennett, Editor

“Huck It!” my buddy said.  I’m standing on my skis at the edge of a 25 ft. cliff at Vail.  My goggles are slightly fogged.  I replied, “No problem!  Watch me nail this!”

A slight breeze was rolling over the mountain tops.  Adrenaline was pumping through my veins.  The snow was coming down heavy. Only the sound of my breath and my heart pounding in my chest remained.  The powder at the bottom of the cliff was beckoning me. My skis were ready for the challenge.  Was I?

“Looks risky to me.”  I said to myself.

Jumping cliffs while skiing is risky.  No doubt about it.  Either I nail the landing and ski it out.  Or I wreck at the bottom, run into a tree, and break my leg.

Either I do it or I don’t.

Yeah, I could control the risk by not doing it.  But you haven’t skied with my buddies.  I would have never lived it down if I backed away.

I pushed off.  The feeling of weightlessness is exhilarating.  It’s pure freedom, if only for a couple of seconds.  I land a little off center but ski out of the drop.

Believe it or not, there’s a point to my story.  I’m not just trying to impress you with my daredevil skiing abilities.

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The point is, trading stocks doesn’t have to be like skiing off a cliff.

In trading, it doesn’t have to be an all or nothing affair.  You can control your downside risk.  Professional traders do it, and you can too.

Here’s an easy risk management strategy the pros use all the time.

Before you place a trade, do these three things first.  Plan the entry point for your trade.  Plan the price where you’ll exit the trade if you’re wrong (some traders use a stop loss).  Plan the price where you’ll take your profits.

Let me show you what I mean…

CDE Chart

This is the chart for Coeur D’ Alene Mines (CDE).  CDE owns and operates gold and silver mines in South America, the United States, Australia, and Mexico.  Last year they generated $189 million in revenue.

Notice the green line.  This line is the $10.50 price support zone for CDE.  You know this because CDE has bounced off the $10.50 level twice in the last three months.  Now look at the green circle.  That’s where we’d enter a trade.

What’s so special about this area?

This is the point where your downside risk is very low.  If CDE breaks below $10.50 and proceeds below $10.00, you know your trade didn’t work out.  In other words, the stock need only drop a little more than 50 cents for you to know the trade won’t work.

So where would you exit if the trade goes against you?

I’d exit this trade at $9.90.  You never want to exit at a whole number like $10.  Many times a stock will bounce off a whole number and head higher.  By placing your exit slightly below the whole number, you’ll avoid getting whipsawed.

One way to exit is with a stop loss order.  You can set this with your broker.  Or you can use a mental stop.  Just watch the stock and sell when it hits your exit price.

Now, look what happened…

CDE went on a 52% upside tear all the way to $16.  That’s a good place to take profits because the stock has strong resistance there.  If you had put $5,000 into that trade, you could have pocketed a quick $2,600 profit.  Not a bad monthly return.

But here’s the real kicker…

You made a profit nine times greater than the amount you risked. Our risk was only 60 cents (because of the stop loss).  The stock jumped $5.50 from our entry price.  That’s a risk reward ratio of 1 to 9.  That’s what I call a fantastic trade.

Here’s a secret…

Experienced traders who’ve been around the block track performance by the amount they risk.  Not by the amount they invest!

The key to racking up big returns is controlling your downside risk. Smart trading is not like skiing off a cliff and hoping for the best. It’s all about keeping the risks small and capturing the big rewards.


Commodity Watch 

• Silver (Over $17 an ounce)

Silver is showing some serious strength.  It’s up 17% from its close just two weeks ago.  The high for silver in the last ten years was $21 in March of 2008.  Is a test of this level in the cards?


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Issue Date:
 Wednesday, September 16, 2009


Notable Highs and Lows

•  IAMGOLD (IAG) hit a new 52-week high of over $15.  This gold miner is jumping as gold breaks above the $1,000 level.  They have a market cap of over $5 billion.

•  World Fuel Services (INT) hit a new 52-week high of over $49.  The fuel services provider recently received a $104 million contract.  They have a market cap of over $1 billion.

•  BMC Software (BMC) hit a 52-week high of over $38.  The company develops large enterprise software for companies around the world and was recently upgraded.  It has a market cap approaching $7 billion.


Quote of the Day

"Nobody can go back and start a new beginning, but anyone can start today and make a new ending."

                              -
Maria Robinson

 
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