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Here's The Next Big Move...


The Dynamic Wealth Report
August 25, 2010

by Justin Bennett, Editor

We have a big move coming…

Unfortunately, I’m not talking about my dream of moving to Alaska.

You see, I’ve always wanted to Heli-ski the endless Alaskan backcountry.  Swooshing through miles of fluffy powder puts a big smile on my face.  And, every new run is just a short helicopter trip to the top.

But the reality is…

My wife hates the cold.  She would slap me upside the head for suggesting such a crazy idea.  She loves the warmth of the Arizona sun.

The big move I’m talking about is an indicator…

It’s an indicator I use extensively in my research to find stocks and commodities setting up for big moves.

It’s called the ADX indicator.  And it can dramatically improve your trading results if you use it correctly.

Let me show you what I mean…

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Silver Chart #1

Take a look at the blue circle at the bottom of the chart.  Now see how it corresponds to the consolidation pattern in the chart directly above.

Match these two market scenarios up and you have an explosive combination.  Notice how silver exploded higher from the consolidation pattern.  That’s what you call a low risk/high reward setup!

Take a look at another example…

Gold Chart

Do you see the same setup in gold at the end of 2008?

Gold was trading around $800 an ounce.  It was also forming a sweet consolidation pattern.  The ADX was at 10 and signaling an impending move.  The low ADX matched up directly beneath the consolidation pattern.

You could have grabbed a 15% move to the upside in gold shortly thereafter.

Here’s how you can use the ADX indicator today…

The ADX indicator works for every market.  All it shows is if a market is trending or not.  An ADX reading below 15 indicates a lack of trend.  A high reading means the market has a strong trend.

You want to be buying the market when the ADX is low.  The lower the ADX reading the better.  It means the initial move out of a consolidation pattern will be dramatic.

Now this is important…

The ADX indicator does not tell you which way the market is going to move.  It only indicates a lack of trend.  Watch the price action in the market to help you get on the right side of the trade.

The ADX works best on highly liquid markets… mid to large cap stocks for example.  The ADX is also great to use on commodities markets like gold and silver.

Let me show you what I am seeing right now…

Silver Chart #2

See anything familiar?  Notice the ADX reading of 10 and a consolidation pattern forming.

Silver is setting up for a big move, and I think it’s going higher…

A breakout above the $18.50 area may push silver through the 2010 highs of $19.50.  The 2008 highs at $21 would be the next target.  After that, the sky’s the limit!

On the other hand, a breakdown below the $17.50 level and we could see silver drop to the $15.00 area.  This would be an excellent buying opportunity.

Either way, keep a close eye on silver in coming days.  It looks like a big move is just around the corner.

Commodity Watch 

•  Gold (Over $1,225 an ounce)

The yellow metal is trading near the recent highs of $1,260 an ounce.  An important thing to notice in this recent surge higher is gold’s correlation with the U.S. Dollar.  Both have been moving higher in the last two weeks.  Gold is acting as a safe haven currency.


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Issue Date:
 Wednesday, August 25, 2010


Notable Highs and Lows

•  International Paper (IP) hit a 52-week low of under $20.  The paper and packaging company is falling on broad market weakness.  Their market cap is now over $8.5 billion.

•  BB&T (BBT) hit a new 52-week low of under $23.  The banking and trust provider is falling as industry reform takes hold.  They have a market cap of just over $15 billion.

•  Sims Metal Management Limited (SMS) hit a 52-week low of under $14. The company is the world’s largest metals recycler.  Their market cap is $2.8 billion.


Quote of the Day

"Short term volatility is greatest at turning points and diminishes as a trend becomes established."

                           -
George Soros

 
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