Another Tool For Your Trading Toolbox
The Dynamic Wealth Report
February 3, 2010
by Justin Bennett, Editor
A couple of weeks ago we spoke about the hammer. The hammer is a one day
technical pattern producing low risk trades in certain situations.
Here’s another basic tool that works well in trading…
It’s called the wedge. Many of you know that a wedge is a tool used by
humans for many millennia. It allows for the splitting or lifting of
objects. The wedge gives the user a mechanical advantage.
In trading, a wedge is a technical trading pattern that can give the
user a statistical advantage. By trading the wedges correctly, you can
gain an edge over the market.
There are two types of wedges, rising and falling. Wedges are a longer
term pattern. I’ve found the longer they build, the more profitable they
can be. In this article, let’s take a look at the rising wedge. (These
are also known as ascending wedges.)
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Let me show you what I mean…

A rising wedge occurs over a period of
rising prices.
Take a look at the chart above. The S&P 500 had been rising for quite a
few months. Looks good, right? Well yes, you’re doing great if you bought
down at the 1,000 level. But, what if you’re on the sidelines and
looking for a low risk trade?
Where is the lowest risk trade with the highest possible reward?
You could go long through the
S&P 500 SPDR (SPY). In this case, you
would be looking for further upside in the S&P 500.
But the rising wedge pattern means something…
It means buyers are becoming increasingly exhausted as the market trades
higher. You can see this by comparing the green upper trend line with
the red lower trend line. Notice how they are converging. The green
trend line is rising at a flatter angle than the red trend line.
This gives the advantage to the bears in the short term.
Now, it’s been proven the best long term results come from trading
with
the trend of the market. And in this case, the trend is still UP.
But in
some scenarios, the reward to risk ratio of going with the trend
just aren’t that good. Once in a while, it pays to go against the grain
when the risks are low and the potential reward is high.
And this is exactly what a wedge pattern represents…
It’s an opportunity to go against the trend of the market with low risk.
As long as you put a stop loss order above the recent highs, your risk
is controlled.
Here’s the current chart of the S&P 500…

As you can see, the S&P 500 has broken down out of the wedge pattern.
Just how far down the S&P will go remains to be seen.
But here’s a general rule of thumb…
Breakdowns from wedge patterns like the one above can retrace at least
75% of the wedge. Meaning… we could test the 1,060 to 1,040 level on the
S&P 500 in the next few weeks.
So be on the lookout for these high reward, low risk patterns.
Just remember, trading is about keeping the risks small and the rewards
big. The wedge pattern gives you the opportunity to do just that.
By the way, in my
Technical Trading Alert service we made a very similar
trade and subscribers are already showing a profit. Setups like this
can make savvy technical traders good money.
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The precious metal is bouncing higher over recent trading sessions. The
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President releasing the 2010 and 2011 budget. Both budgets revealed
record deficit spending.
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