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Watch Out For Used Car Salesmen Masquerading As CEOs


The Dynamic Wealth Report
January 14, 2010

by Robert Morris, Editor

“It sounds to me a little bit like selling a car with faulty brakes, and then buying an insurance policy on the buyer of those cars.”  That’s how Phil Angelides, Chairman of the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission, characterized the behavior of Wall Street’s biggest banks.

In case you missed it, the Commission held its first hearings yesterday into how the banks’ conduct led to last year’s near meltdown of the financial system.  Mr. Angelides didn’t pull any punches when he compared these “Masters of the Universe” to used car salesmen.

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That comment and another one by Mr. Angelides got me thinking.  Both of them address something every investor needs to take to heart.

He said, “I am troubled by the inability [of bank CEOs] to take responsibility because I think it’s fundamental.”

I bet you’re nodding your head in agreement.  It’s such a simple truism.  When you make a mistake that hurts someone else, you ought to acknowledge what you did was wrong and take responsibility for your actions.

That’s one sign of good management…

One of my favorite quotes by Warren Buffett sums it up perfectly…

In evaluating people, you look for three qualities:  integrity, intelligence, and energy.  And, if you don’t have the first, the other two will kill you.

But, how can we as small-fry investors tell if management’s honest?

We don’t know these people.  We don’t have an opportunity to look them in the eye and talk to them directly.  How can we really size up someone’s character if we can’t interact with them in person?

We all know the insatiable greed of Wall Street fat cats was the source of the financial crisis.  But, they’re not apologizing and taking responsibility.  They’re busy profiting from the aftermath… and blaming the government for letting the banks take on too much risk.  (Now that’s just downright disgraceful in my book.)

This is not the kind of behavior I want to see from the executives of companies that I invest in.  And, you shouldn’t either.

What we’re really talking about here is honesty and integrity.

These are the most important, most fundamental character traits I look for when assessing a company’s management team.  If the CEO and top executives lack these qualities, you can be sure the company’s headed for trouble.

It all starts with diligent research.

Read the company’s annual reports from oldest to newest.  These will give you a good idea about management’s perspectives, strategies, and goals.  By reading them in chronological order, you can get a feel for how consistent and reliable management is.

It’s also important to go back and review press releases, quarterly earnings reports, interviews, speeches, and the company’s website.

These too provide insight into the character of a company’s management team.  Lucky for us, the internet makes it very easy to gather this information quickly and conveniently.

Most investors don’t take the time to properly assess the quality of a company’s leadership before buying the stock.

They usually spend all their time reviewing the company’s fundamental data or studying the stock chart.  Those are very important parts of the research process.  But you need to spend some time assessing the quality of the people running the business.

Sometimes you’ll spot trends in management behavior that gives you pause.

For example, you might find that a hotshot CEO has a history of sweeping problems and bad news under the rug.  And when the problems finally come to light (they always do), the arrogant CEO will shift the blame elsewhere rather than take responsibility for them.

Avoid companies whose managers are not “candid” with shareholders.

Good managers freely admit their mistakes.  By admitting their mistakes, they can study and learn from them.  And, they’re more likely to correct problems before they blow up and cause catastrophic failures.

Of course, honesty and integrity aren’t the only qualities a good management team should have.

They should also be highly rational and intelligent.  Do they make good decisions about allocating capital?  Are they focusing on what really makes sense for the business and shareholders?

And, good managers are able to act independently of external and internal pressures.  They’re able to resist what Buffett calls the “institutional imperative”.

The institutional imperative is a combination of influences often pushing managers to act in unreasonable ways.

For example, Wall Street analysts, fund managers, and large shareholders are extremely focused on the short-term.  They reward and punish companies based on quarterly results.

This pressure to produce results today (no matter what) has caused many a CEO to cut corners.  Many will pursue strategies that aren’t in the company’s best interests.  While it’s important to deliver consistently good results, it’s more important to do what’s necessary to promote the company’s growth over the long run.

A good CEO understands how these forces work.  And, he’s able to balance the needs of institutional investors for short-term results with the need to successfully grow the company longer-term.

Next time you’re researching investment opportunities, make sure to spend some time assessing the quality of management.  You might see things that help you avoid the next Bear Stearns or Enron.  Remember, the numbers and chart patterns are important, but the values of the people calling the shots are critical for long-term success.
 

ETF Action 

Dry-bulk shipping stocks are continuing to move higher in a new uptrend.  The entire sector broke out of a six-month sideways pattern at the first of the year.  Rising commodity prices and pent-up demand are driving shipping rates higher.  The Claymore Delta Global Shipping ETF (SEA) is up 2.8% today and nearly 18% so far this year.


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Issue Date:
 Thursday, January 14, 2010


Notable Highs and Lows

•  RealNetworks (RNWK) set a new 52-week high of $4.59.  The digital media company’s surging more than 16% today on news their CEO is stepping down.  Their market cap is $605 million.

•  McMoRan Exploration (MMR) hit a new 52-week high of $14.94.  The oil and gas exploration company is continuing higher after reporting a significant discovery at one of its wells in the Gulf of Mexico on Monday.  They have a market cap of $1.26 billion.

•  Maui Land & Pineapple (MLP) fell to a new 52-week low of $3.63.  The Hawaiian real estate company is plunging after disclosing it’s on the verge of bankruptcy.  They have a market cap just over $33 million.


Quote of the Day

"People ought to invest in us because they like our company and the way we run it.  We still do quarterly earnings guidance, but we tell people openly that they ought to look at the company for the long term and that’s how they ought to invest."

 -
Jeffrey Immelt, CEO of General Electric

 
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Company Gain
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McMoRan Exploration (MMR) 70%
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China MediaExpress (CCME) 65%
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InfoLogix (IFLGD) 29%
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*Year-to-Date, Mkt Cap > $100M


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