Even Warren Buffett Makes Mistakes
The Dynamic Wealth Report
August 22, 2008
Did You Make This Investing Mistake?
by Brian T Mikes, Managing Editor
Just last week I had a few friends over for dinner. Long time readers
know one of my many passions is cooking. So of course I had to prepare
dinner. I started thinking of exotic dishes. But this was a work night.
Time would be limited so I picked something simple.
I settled on a long-time favorite – Chicken & Rice.
Then I made a huge mistake. The dish is relatively easy to make. And
I’ve prepared it hundreds of times. I was in a mad rush around the
kitchen preparing everything. Nothing unusual for me but this time was
different. Somehow I lost track of the ingredients I was adding.
The savory earthy flavors of the spices mixing with the chicken and rice
filled the house with a beautiful aroma. By the time the guests arrived
I was salivating. I couldn’t wait for dinner. I rushed the guests to the
table. I was moments away from proudly displaying my Chicken & Rice
masterpiece. I couldn’t resist. I snuck a taste. I almost died.
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It was inedible.
I took another taste . . . it was too salty. Somehow in all of my
craziness I lost track of the ingredients. I added way too much salt to
the dish. It was so bad . . . it was inedible . . . I called for pizza
delivery. Then I shamefully explained to my hungry guests what happened.
The night may have been a bust, but I learned something important. What
did I learn? Give me a moment.
First, take a look at this chart. Not exactly the prettiest looking
stock chart I’ve seen. As a matter of fact, from its peak a few months
ago the stock is down more than 20%. And over the last year the stock is
flat.

This is the stock chart for Berkshire Hathaway Class B
(BRK/B). The investment vehicle
of famed investor Warren Buffett. Over the last few months Warren and
his company have been struggling.
The first bit of bad news came to light earlier this month.
When Berkshire announced earnings it wasn’t good. Berkshire’s net income
dropped 7.6%. Last quarter the company’s net income dropped 64%. I don’t
know about you but I hope it’s not the start of a trend.
But that wasn’t all the bad news.
In March, Buffett owned more than 35 million shares of Anheuser-Busch
(BUD). So when the European beverage conglomerate InBev agreed to buy
Anheuser for $65 a share, investors were happy. Then InBev increased
their offer to $70 a share. Buffett once again looked like a genius.
But not so fast.
In the last few days, Buffett disclosed his holdings. New reports filed
with the government show Berkshire investors and Buffett followers don’t
have much to be happy about. Turns out Buffet only owns 13.7 million
shares. Apparently he sold the other 60%+ of his BUD shares.
Now for the bad news.
Buffett sold them before the acquisition was announced. He sold them too
early.
Now, I’m sure he made some good money on the investment. And he hasn’t
disclosed what price he sold the BUD shares for yet. But, he certainly
left millions and maybe hundreds of millions on the table, simply by
selling his shares too early.
So what lesson did I learn from my kitchen . . . anyone can make a
simple mistake. And Warren Buffett taught me even the greatest investor
of all time can make a mistake. The next time you have a bad trade . . .
and don’t let your winners run. Remember, mistakes happen to the
best - and richest of us.
• Foundation Coal
(FCL) was upgraded to Buy at UBS. The coal
markets have been down recently but the analyst gave the company a $75
target.
• WD-40 (WDFC) was downgraded by JP Morgan. The company was moved to an
underweight rating and the stock traded lower on the news.
•
UBS initiated coverage on AutoZone (AZO) with a Neutral rating. The
stock is just off its 52-week highs.
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