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Today's Issue

Portfolio Management

The Dynamic Wealth Report
July 11, 2007

Bulls, Bears, and Pigs


The other day I was reviewing my portfolio and I realized that it’s
been a great year so far.  I took a quick look at where we started the year and so far the markets in general have been kind to the smart (or lucky) investor.

The Dow Jones closed at 13,577, up 8.8%, the NASDAQ and the S&P are
also up by 9.4% and 7.2% this year.

The commodities market is also chugging along – gold is now up to
$667 an oz.

With positive moves like this, it got me thinking about my next move.
What to buy, when to buy?  It was then that it dawned on me.  When I
put on a trade, for a short term move, I always add in a stop order – or
at least I mentally set a stop order.

Strangely enough, and I’m sure you are no different, I've not been updating my stop orders.  Some of my investments have moved away from my initial levels, and I have exposed myself to serious risk – and the potential to see my hard earned profits disappear.

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The famous wall street saying goes “In the market, bears make money,
bulls make money, but pigs get slaughtered.”  I tell you, I’ve been a little piggy lately.

I think it’s time to do a little portfolio review.  Maybe take some
profits – maybe not.  At the very least we need to adjust our stop loss
orders.  Now the million dollar question is where do you place your stop
loss?


I have seen every suggestion for stop loss placement, from the simple,
to the complex.  Investor’s Business Daily has a rule that everyone
exit a trade if it moves against you by 7% or 8%.  I know an investor who
uses an ATR (average true range) calculation which roughly tracks
volatility and plans exits at the bottom of the range.  Yet another investor
I know limits his loss to 5% of his portfolio value, but he is very wealthy and keeps a small number of investments in his portfolio.

Truly these methods are a dime a dozen.  The important thing is that
you pick one and stick to it.  Even if it is only mental!

 Sectors On The Move 

•   Commodities – Specifically metals (13% + in one month)

Industrial metals companies continued to rally being up more than 15%
over the last month.  This is being driven by continued rising demand in
the metals including Copper (+14%), Aluminum (+14%), and Silver
(+13%), all of which as an industry are showing continued strength.  This
market continues to be driven by high demand from developing nations –
like China – which drive high commodity prices, when coupled with low
production costs traditionally built into the industry are a recipe for
profits.


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Issue Date:
 Wednesday, July 11, 2007


Notable Highs and Lows

•  Google (GOOG) reached yet another all time high on news that they signed a definitive agreement to acquire Postini, a communications security company. Can anything stop this stock?

•  Research in Motion (RIMM) the creator of the ultimate wireless device,
the crack-berry (sorry, blackberry) reached an all time high as well,
driven by . . . well, as best as I can figure it, it is being driven by Jim Cramer and his mad money news program.


Quote of the Day

"Life can only be understood backwards — but it must be lived forwards”
                         -Soren Kierkegaard


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