
Now, I don't have to tell you that Google is one of the most followed
stocks on the planet these days. Due to its meteoric rise, Google
is the subject of intense speculation on both sides.
And, as many of you know, it is this speculation that pushes up the
price of options. And on this day, the speculation was off the
charts. So I thought to myself, "How can I make some money off of
this speculation?"
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So, I decided to sell some put options on Google. I ended
up selling 15 October 590 puts (symbol: GOOVR) for $360 a piece.
With commissions, $5,369 was deposited into my trading account that
instant. When I made the trade, Google's stock was at $638.
Now, here are the scenarios of what could have happened from there.
First, my breakeven was $586.40. So the only way I could lose any
money was if Google's stock fell below $586.40, in one trading day.
But here's the good part, if Google's stock closed anywhere above $590,
I would pocket the entire $5,369. So, for me to lose any money,
Google's stock would have had to fall over 50 points in that
one trading session. If it didn't, the option would
expire worthless, and I'd get to keep the premium.
To tip the trade even more in my favor, it was common knowledge that
Google was going to report a good number. Google had been firing
on all cylinders quarter after quarter and the word on the street was
that this one was going to be particularly good.
So, what exactly did happen. Well, after the close on that
Thursday, Google reported a good number, the stock price went up 10
bucks, and I made a very quick, and very easy $5,369. Its always
nice finding a trade where you make money if the stock falls, does
nothing, or goes up!
Although this one worked perfectly, there are some things to watch out
for when selling puts. First, you've got to keep a fair amount of
margin in your account in case the stock falls below your strike price
and you end up having to buy the shares (the margin requirements are
especially high for higher-priced stocks like Google).
Second, your losses could be substantial if the stock you're targeting
plummets past your strike price. So, lets say Google had reported
a bad number (yeah right) and the stock had fallen 100 points that
Friday. I would have lost my shirt.
So, although selling puts can be an extremely profitable proposition,
you've got to be careful where and when you place your trades (like any
other investment!). And, as always, make sure the probabilities
are stacked in your favor before making any trade.
By the way, Hyperion is looking into launching a new options research
service that identifies trades like this before they happen.
We'll keep you updated but be sure to let us know if that's something
you'd like to see...
• Amgen (AMGN), the biotech stalwart, was upgraded by Lehman Brothers yesterday to 'overweight'.
• Internet bellwether Amazon.com (AMZN) was upgraded to 'buy' with a $91 price target by Stifel Nicolas.
• Real estate and timberland management giant Rayonier (RYN) was downgraded by JP Morgan to 'neutral'.
• AmeriGas Partners (APU), the propane distributer, was downgraded by Wachovia yesterday.
• Good old Coca-Cola (KO) reached a new high today of $62.41 a share.
• Circuit City continues to get battered by the market. CC reached a new 52 week low today of $6.25.
• Macy's (M) also reached a new low today of $28. The retailers are operating in a very difficult environment right now.

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| General Steel (GSI) | 872% | |
| Advanced Battery (ABAT) | 850% | |
| Universal Travel Group (UTVG) | 683% | |
| China NE Petroleum (CNEH) | 650% | |
| China Finance Online (JRJC) | 556% | |
| Company | Loss | |
| NEUROCHEM | 86% | |
| Jade Mountain | 86% | |
| Central Garden | 85% | |
| Standard Pacific | 85% | |
| New Motion | 83% | |