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LinkedIn IPO:  Is It Worth Buying?


The Dynamic Wealth Report
May 5, 2011

by Jay Chernoff, Editor

It’s funny… Facebook isn’t even a public company yet.  But already, everyone’s searching for the “next” Facebook.

It should come as no surprise… Facebook is valued at over $70 billion right now based on the trading of private shares.  And that’s in very limited trade.  Imagine what will happen when the company IPOs!

While Facebook’s IPO will almost certainly be a success, it probably won’t happen until sometime in 2012.  So investors are instead searching for companies with IPOs happening in the near future.  In particular, buyers can’t wait to get their hands on anything related to social media.

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And that’s where LinkedIn comes in.

Like Facebook, LinkedIn is a social networking site.  However, that’s where most of the similarities end.

LinkedIn is a site geared to business professionals.  It allows users to take advantage of their business network to look for jobs, make introductions, and participate in discussions.

Basically, LinkedIn is a business networking site.

LinkedIn has grown enormously popular since its inception in 2003.  The site now has over 100 million members.  For a business networking site, that’s pretty amazing.

Facebook may have revolutionized the way we keep in touch with our friends and family.  But it looks like LinkedIn has done the same for our business connections.

And that’s why LinkedIn’s IPO is getting so much attention.

If you haven’t yet heard, LinkedIn has filed for an IPO on the NYSE sometime later this year.  It could be the first of several high profile tech IPOs to come.

Based on the price level of private shares, LinkedIn is valued at almost $3 billion.

Here’s the interesting thing…

The company pulled in less than $250 million in revenue in all of 2010.  It sure seems like they have a long way to go to justify a $3 billion valuation.

But just like Facebook, it’s all about the potential.

LinkedIn does have 100 million members.  That’s a massive amount of prospective paying customers.  When you have a built in list of so many people… well let’s just say there’s a lot of ways to earn money from 100 million people.

As a matter of fact, LinkedIn just reported their first quarter revenues… and they’re seeing impressive growth.  Sales climbed to $93.9 million.  That’s a stellar 110% increase from the same period last year.  So, it does appear the company is on the right track.

But, it’s not quite so straightforward…

Facebook can rely on ad revenue and online games to fuel their growth.  Ads on Facebook have a much larger impact than ads on LinkedIn.  Plus, Facebook games are exploding in popularity.  Clearly, LinkedIn doesn’t have the luxury of tapping into that market.

So how else can LinkedIn generate revenue?

In a nutshell… employment services.

You see, LinkedIn has become a major destination for those searching for jobs.  Member profiles are basically online resumes – so it’s really easy to pass on your qualifications to a potential employer.

What’s more, it’s even easier for employers to search out ideal candidates.  And it’s not just about having so many online resumes to choose from.  There’s also the credibility factor.  Depending on who you have in your network, it can be very easy to confirm a candidate’s background and qualifications.

So is all that enough to justify LinkedIn’s lofty valuation?

As a matter of fact, it might be.

Of course, there are no guarantees.  There’s a lot of competition in the employment services space.  You have Monster Worldwide (MWW), CareerBuilder, and several others.

But here’s the thing…

None of those competitors have the social media buzz surrounding LinkedIn.  And that buzz could go a long way toward attracting investors to the IPO.

More importantly, there’s just so many ways to make money from a membership base of 100 million people.  I don’t see investors shying away from such an explosive opportunity for growth.

The LinkedIn IPO hasn’t been officially scheduled yet, so keep an eye on the IPO calendar.  I don’t think you’ll want to miss this one.  Investors could be in for a fun ride.

ETF Action

One of the top losers this week in the ETF space is iShares Silver Trust ETF (SLV).  It’s down nearly 6% today and off nearly 19% over the past week.  SLV tracks the performance of silver by purchasing the physical metal.  Silver prices have pulled back after nearing record high levels.

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Issue Date:
 Thursday, May 5, 2011


Notable Highs and Lows

•  Adams Golf (ADGF) hit a 52-week high of just over $8.  The golf equipment company is climbing to new highs on record first quarter revenues.  Their market cap is now over $56 million.

•  Coherent (COHR) hit a new 52-week high of over $65.50.  The company provides photonics-based solutions for commercial and scientific research applications.  They have a market cap of just under $1.5 billion.

•  Virgin Media (VMED) hit a 52-week high of just over $31.  The company provides entertainment and communication services in the United Kingdom.  Their market cap is just under $10 billion.


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