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A Drug Stock To Buy Now

The Dynamic Wealth Report
January 7, 2009

Profit From The $2.2 Trillion Healthcare Market


Just a few weeks ago I started buying for my own account.  I sensed a bottom might be forming in the market.  I didn’t time it perfectly, but I’m up on these investments so far.  Back in December I wrote about one of my picks.  If you missed that article you can check it out here (What I'm Buying Now). 

I was noticing stocks were cheap.  Cheap enough for me to start dipping my toe back in the water.

Now this is very important.  Note I didn’t say I was going all in.  I didn’t say I’m 100% back into the market.  I’m dipping my toe in.  I’m buying a little here and a little more there.

I’m slowly redeploying cash I have on the sidelines.

I’m looking for good positions, and picking my entry spots carefully.  With stocks being undervalued, now’s the time to start buying good quality companies to hold for the long term.

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The stocks I’m looking at are name brand companies.  Companies I have no doubt will survive this recession… and the next.  Companies that will thrive and grow over the next 5, 10, or 15 years.

Now, I’ll admit this investment strategy isn’t for everyone.  You need to have a long term time horizon.

Right now we’re in a value market.

That means professional investors are focusing on the valuation of companies.  They’re gobbling up the ones that are undervalued.  Those are the companies that will show the biggest returns over the next few years.

This is the kind of market “deep value” investors love to play in.

Enough about why we’re buying. Here’s what I’m buying…

I picked a major player in the Pharmaceutical industry.  It was an easy choice.  Just look around.  Everyone’s living longer, healthier lives. Medical technology’s extending our lifespan.

Just look it up.

A couple short centuries ago the average man was lucky to live to see 30 years old.  Now, it’s a great tragedy if someone dies at that age.

With everyone living longer lives, it means more money being spent on healthcare.

As a matter of fact, Americans spent $2.2 trillion dollars on healthcare in 2007.  That’s an average of $7,400 per person.  Prescription drug spending increased to $227 billion in 2007.

Wouldn’t you want to capture that spending for yourself?

I know I would… and I do now.  A few weeks back I started buying shares of Pfizer (PFE).  Now, the growth in healthcare spending isn’t my only reason. 

I also like Pfizer for their balance sheet.

They have more than $26 billion in cash and short term investments.  Plus another $8 billion in long term investments.  All of their long and short term debt amounts to about $16 billion.

They’re sitting on a cash cushion of more than $18 billion.

But that’s not all.  Last quarter the company generated more than $3.9 billion in cash.  As a matter of fact, in the last 12 months the company produced more than $15 billion in cash flow.

What’s not to love about that?

Now I’ll admit the business isn’t perfect.  There are concerns over the pipeline of new drugs, and the recession is impacting current sales.  To me, these are short term issues.  These are problems management will be solving.

On top of a great business, we also get a solid dividend.

Right now the company’s paying $0.32 per quarter.  That’s about $1.28 per year per share.  It’s a robust yield of just over 7%.

I took up a position in Pfizer a few weeks ago.  It’s given me a small gain of just over 4%.  Not bad for a few weeks, but remember I’m not in this for a quick flip.  This is a long term hold for me. Take a look at your portfolio.  Pfizer might be a good fit for you as well.


Commodity Watch 

•  Wheat ($6.45 per bushel)

Wheat’s been climbing steadily over the last few weeks.  We’re now above prices last seen in October.  News out of India indicates the country’s strategic wheat stocks will be well above required levels of 4 million tons.


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Issue Date:
 Wednesday, January 7, 2009


Notable Highs and Lows

•  M&T Bank (MTB) traded near its 52-week low of under $50.  The sporting bank recently announced an agreement to acquire Provident Bankshares.  Their market cap is just over $5.5 billion.

•  Hill Rom (HRC) hit a new 52-week low of under $15.  Despite confirming earnings guidance for 2009, the healthcare company is trading lower. Their market cap is just over $900 million.

•  Varian Medical Systems (VAR) hit a new 52-week low of just over $15. Their market cap is now $4.3 billion.


Quote of the Day

"I never buy at the bottom, and I always sell too soon."

                   -Baron Nathan Rothschild

 

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