We will get confirmation of the success or failure of Black Friday in a
few weeks. This will come when the large retailers start announcing
same store sales for the month of November.
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Now here is what the newspapers and the press are glossing over.
Within the retail group, there are a few who are bucking the general
downtrend in the market. Retailers who focus on consumer electronics
might have a more positive outlook. According to The National Retail
Federation (NRF) more than 50% of consumers are asking for electronics
related items like CDs, DVDs, videos, and video games. More than 36% are
looking for consumer electronics or computer-related items under the
Christmas tree.
It is hard to argue with the success that some consumer electronics
products are having. It seems like everyone wants the new iPhone, iPod,
big screen HD-TV, HD-DVD player, or even game counsels like the Wii or
the X-Box. I know I have almost all of those items on my own wish list.
Healthcare REITs are more closely tied to the state of the healthcare
industry than the real estate industry. They have very stable operations
and a good long term outlook- yet have been rejected by the investing
community. Here is a perfect example:
In my opinion, the most likely retailer success story will be Best
Buy (BBY). Their combination of leading edge consumer electronics,
competitive prices, and strong customer service will no doubt pack the
stores today and beyond.
• PetroChina (PTR) received an upgrade from Bear Stearns today moving from a Underperform to a Peer Perform. This change came despite Warren Buffett exiting his holdings in the company recently.
• Qualcomm (QCOM) received an upgrade this week form JP Morgan who raised their rating on the stock to Overweight.
• Bear Stearns initiated coverage on Virgin Mobile
(VM) this week. The
wireless communications provider was started at a Peer Perform rating.
•
Pulte homes fell more than 12%
after posting a loss
for the third
quarter earlier this week. The homebuilder reported a loss of more than
$3 per share or about $790 million.
•
Deere & Co (DE) rallied more than $10 to a new
high of over $156 per
share after reporting increased profits and providing a positive outlook
for the current quarter.
•
ETrade Financial (ETFC) has risen almost 10% in
the last week. As you
may recall, the company recently announced some significant exposure to
the mortgage market, causing the stock to tumble more than 50%. The
latest rally is being attributed to takeover rumors.
| Company | Gain | |
| Timminco (TIMNF) | 3563% | |
| Forum National (FMNLF) | 1286% | |
| Rodman & Renshaw (RDRN) | 1125% | |
| Zongshen PEM (ZNGSF) | 833% | |
| First Solar (FSLR) | 612% | |
| Company | Loss | |
| NEUROCHEM (NRMX) | 86% | |
| Sutor Tech (SUOT) | 85% | |
| Security Capital (SCA) | 84% | |
| GPC Biotech (GPCB) | 84% | |
| Jade Mountain (JDMC) | 83% | |
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